Global Trade Survey
Global Trade Report
Productivity, Supply, Demand, Price, Labor, Inflation, Deflation, Expanded Commerce
Productivity Survey
This site explores economic changes over recent decades & anticipated inflation, deflation, supply, demand, availability of products & services. Globalization is bringing new opportunities in new markets for existing & new products & services.

Operation Tragedy Real
It is sad, destructive, and horrific. It will result in the ongoing waste of resources, deep human suffering, and daily misery impacting decent people everywhere.
A decade after 9/11/2001, problems pertain to issues of appearance. Ten years after 911....
Jobs' Job One, Well Done
   
Perspective
If you think the decline in the DJIA from the October, 2007 all-time high was severe, consider the following quantitative history of human psychology.
The DJIA's all-time high reached in October, 2007, faded throughout 2008 to the low reached in March, 2009.

September 3, 1929:  The DJIA  reached 381.17, the closing peak for the bull market of the 1920's.
October 28, 1929:  The DJIA lost 38.33 points to close at 260.64, losing 12.8% of it value.
October 29, 1929:  The DJIA lost 30.57 points to close at 230.07 losing 11.7%.
Over the two days October 28 and 29, the total DJIA loss was 24.5%.
October 30, 1929:  The DJIA rose 28.40 points to close at 258.47. That was 12.34%, the second largest percentage gain of the DJIA.
October 6, 1931:  The DJIA rose 12.86 points to close at 99.34, largest percentage gain of the DJIA, 14.87%.
July 8, 1932:  The DJIA fell .59 to close at 41.22.  The decline from September 3, 1929 to July 8, 1932 totaled 339.95 points, 89.19%.

It was not until 1954 that the DJIA returned to the all-time high it had reached on September 3, 1929.
Beware of false valuations that have been created through arrogant and ignorant market participants groping for bottoms.
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Productivity Survey
   
Pumpkin Stuff Shortage
The Nestle company manufacturers most of the canned pumpkin product sold in America. It markets these products under the brand name Libby.
Nestle's Libby announced that there may not be an adequate supply of canned pumpkin product for the 2009 holiday season. Libby stated that its production of canned pumpkin products may be sold out before the end of the holiday season.
This is one of the first shortages in food products to hit the United States since World War II. It will not be an anomaly.
Americans should expect more shortages because manufacturers are conserving resources -- that is, cutting back on production.
Americans should expect additional shortages in many product lines and in various other manufactured and processed goods.
Manufacturers will continue to scale back production, consumers will continue to buy less, and the downward economic spiral will proceed.
This sort of downward spiral in production is a result of increased taxation on businesses during today's recessionary that forces businesses to reduce labor costs which results in people losing jobs which results in people having lowered or no income which results in consumers' growing inability to buy products and services which results in businesses laying off additional workers who produce products and services that consumers are not buying.
Amidst the coming shortages, people will long for the gasoline lines of 1973.
Where Have The Men Gone?
Many businessmen have experienced cash shortfalls and operating difficulties. Those men worthy of managing businesses find creative ways to maneuver their company out of financial and operating difficulties. Even owners of service businesses can successfully maneuver, avoid bankruptcy, and grow their company into prosperity.
General Motors celebrated its 100th anniversary in September, 2008.
Men starting with William C. Durant, GM's founder, overcame bigger problems than those facing GM today.
   
Consumers can purchase products at lesser prices when manufacturing moves from high cost labor nations to lower cost labor nations.
Agree        Disagree
Consumers may sometimes purchase improved products at lesser prices when manufacturing moves from high cost labor nations to lower cost labor nations.
Agree        Disagree
Employees lose jobs in high wage nations when manufacturing moves to lower wage nations.
Agree        Disagree



Previously unemployed people in developing economies take jobs at lower wages than US workers demand and strike over.
Agree        Disagree
Unemployed people living in poverty in developing nations have new opportunities to work, live decently, and raise families.
Agree        Disagree
Low-skilled American workers -- for example, those who bolt on vehicle fenders, thread bobbins, monitor union crews, etc. -- should plan for and expect to lose their jobs in tomorrow's modern, mechanized, automated, globalized economic environment.
Agree        Disagree



Most people are employees as well as consumers.
Obviously        I don't understand.
Newly employed people in developing economies will gain if they perform efficiently and their nation is seen as a highly productive, civilized nation where it is easy to business.
Obviously        I don't understand.
Low-skilled American workers can improve their lifestyles in the emerging global economy if they get additional education and the better jobs that then become available for them.
Agree        Disagree



Please identify any concerns you have regarding the globalizing economy.
Relaxing Toward Deflation
Economic indicators go up and down. The only certainty is that they will fluctuate. Fears of inflation returning in its 1970 through 1982 mode should abate.  Read the story.



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